Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.112298 3.457733 3.831705 4.267632 4.763047 5.309965 5.961368
2025-04-13 2.474420 2.908900 3.411643 4.039814 4.808452 5.724403 6.907567
2025-04-20 2.173693 2.664589 3.261579 4.048004 5.067049 6.357102 8.136579
2025-04-27 1.989549 2.523261 3.199293 4.129832 5.395334 7.082605 9.547289
2025-05-04 1.846381 2.410255 3.149753 4.207026 5.707020 7.801071 11.022272
2025-05-11 1.719238 2.301143 3.087758 4.250636 5.963830 8.456831 12.477595
2025-05-18 1.608855 2.201912 3.025626 4.280688 6.194387 9.087841 13.965706
2025-05-25 1.470225 2.049697 2.872910 4.159424 6.179072 9.334401 14.861675
2025-06-01 1.370226 1.944170 2.777302 4.111487 6.266024 9.741803 16.066051
2025-06-08 1.287624 1.857298 2.701155 4.084096 6.378394 10.195639 17.402540
2025-06-15 1.254851 1.842168 2.731281 4.225221 6.777525 11.170539 19.812172
2025-06-22 1.187873 1.769273 2.665364 4.202589 6.894206 11.661633 21.374523
2025-06-29 1.120816 1.693294 2.591365 4.163983 6.985947 12.130335 22.991471
2025-07-06 1.024181 1.564285 2.423179 3.951325 6.746386 11.958213 23.276702
2025-07-13 0.979633 1.516556 2.384906 3.960796 6.912993 12.577036 25.327640
2025-07-20 0.951790 1.494176 2.386858 4.040811 7.218275 13.501740 28.202547
2025-07-27 0.925091 1.471759 2.386710 4.116095 7.520653 14.455417 31.310505
2025-08-03 0.894818 1.441230 2.370060 4.158606 7.761177 15.307291 34.328216
2025-08-10 0.864603 1.408856 2.347729 4.187895 7.976687 16.130041 37.424811
2025-08-17 0.814350 1.338627 2.253127 4.069709 7.872956 16.228516 38.659262
2025-08-24 0.778162 1.291287 2.197149 4.022983 7.916020 16.665550 40.880100
2025-08-31 0.747230 1.251680 2.152962 3.996284 7.999527 17.206497 43.492805
2025-09-07 0.740183 1.254797 2.188389 4.133838 8.460132 18.712152 49.201784